Tropical Storm Ida, soon to be Hurricane Ida

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Time for more red states to get a visit from a potentially large storm...  Hospitals already full of unvaxxed covid patients...   no bueno!  

 

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Early forecasts;  these could change as we get closer to landfall

 

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Group photo, smile everyone...  

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In the dystopian climate change novel Water Knife the Gulf Coast refuges who try to escape repeated hurricanes that hit year after year don't do well after the states close their boarders. Meanwhile I have friends staying staying at my house this weekend to escape the smoke in the foothills. Placerville AQI was over 1000 today. 

I know someone who has been investing in real estate in Ohio that might be the right move at this point. 

^

Fracking will likely be the end of Ohio's already questionable water supply....

OVER 1000? Wow! When it was over 500 here last year I wore an KN95 mask in my old air-leaky house, even to sleep. So nice they can stay with you. The air quality in Grass Valley seems quite a bit better than it has been.

I smiled but I blinked, can you take another one ? Poor Cuba, they've been takin it on the chin lately. The Weather Channel has it heading straight to New Orleans. Not again !!! The severe weather is everywhere these days it seems.  Who's got the best weather in this damn country, anybody know ?  Who here hasn't had shit happen in a while ? Fires, floods, tornados, earth quakes, hurricanes, we got em all,, and they're all amped up by global warming. 

Don't just take me for tryin' to be heavy
Understand, it's time to get ready for the storm

>>>Fracking will likely be the end of Ohio's already questionable water supply...

Didn't know that. I was looking at real estate prices in Minneapolis but they are smoked in from a wild fire this year too. I know some people who are moving to Coos Bay to get away, but I think Brent said it best. You can run but you can't hide. 

And to add insult to injury my friends near Placerville can't leave until the power goes back on which PG&E has shut off once again. They have enough solar to run their property and invested in battery back up so they don't need to be on the grid anymore. They had it all set up to go in April and needed to unhook their whole house back up generator in order to get the final approval from PG&E  for their batteries. PG&E still  hasn't come so the batteries are just sitting their and they can't use them. 

>>>>I know someone who has been investing in real estate in Ohio that might be the right move at this point. 

I've heard Minn and upstate NY will be boom areas due to heat and water demands in the future but it's just a guess.   

 

I wish the people of these southern states well.  Let's hope the damage is minimal and they just stay inside for a few days and slow the spread of the virus.  

One of the models has it bombing out in the last minute, to become the strongest storm ever...  while I really doubt this will be actualized, all the more reason to take it seriously!  Be safe Big Easy!

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It's cool how so many of us were giving the PhilZone Salute in that group pic.

Stay safe Jaz and all in the path.

Sustained winds of 85mph, eyewall starting to form, likely to strengthen 

Sunrise shot

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Eye wall becoming more developed, sustained winds of 100mph, should be explosive development as it's about to go over some really warm water (86 degrees)

 

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16 years ago tomorrow, Hurricane Katrina came ashore.

I hope we'll do a better job of rescue and mitigation than we did last time.

Those new storm surge levees and pumping upgrades have never really been put to the test - let's hope they hold up.

Thanks ,Mark. The storm will go east of us.

(((Those in the path.)))

>>>>Hope we'll do a better job of rescue.

Joe Biden doesn't care about black people.

Hang on tight Gulf folks.  This is going to be a biggie.

Good luck,  Aiq! Stay safe ,John.

It's been getting larger, but not stronger today, suppose that's sort of good news (winds 105mph)

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And since that last post, lightning is occurring in the eastern eye wall, as the much anticipated explosion occurs, with Ida jumping to a Cat 4 storm now (130mph winds); 

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I don't think i've ever seen this much lightning in an eye wall before, it's actually unusual (outer bands, sure, but not the eye), no bueno 

 

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that'd be 146mph

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Winds picking up in the coastal areas, the buoys feeling it

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Hurricane Ida Discussion Number 12

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092021 400 AM CDT Sun Aug 29 2021

Ida has undergone some dramatic inner-core structural changes since the previous advisory. The eye between 25,000-45,000 ft has become

circular with a diameter of about 15 nmi now, and at least two eyewall mesocyclones have been noted rotating cyclonically around the eyewall in both radar and high-resolution 1-minute GOES-16 satellite imagery. The result has been rapid strengthening of at least 30 kt during the past 6 hours, along with a pressure drop of more than 15 mb during that same time, with a 6-mb decrease having occurred in the 1-hr period between about 0500-0600 UTC based on Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft eye dropsonde data. The aircraft also measured a maximum 700-mb flight-level wind speed of 133 kt in the northeastern quadrant, along with a peak SFMR surface wind speed of 116 kt. Furthermore, NWS Doppler radar velocity data from Slidell, Louisiana, has recently been measuring velocities of

120-130 kt between 25,000-30,000 ft, which is quite rare, and indicates that Ida is a vertically deep and intense hurricane. Ida was initialized with 115 kt at 0600 UTC, but the 0900 UTC advisory intensity has been increased to 120 kt based on the 133-kt flight-level wind and the improved structure in both radar data and

satellite imagery since the 0609 UTC time of that aircraft observation.

 

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"Hurricane Ida's eyewall basically a15 mile wide F3 tornado."

Al Roker

Keeping New Orleans and all of SE Louisiana in my prayers this morning.

Live YouTube storm reporter cat. In Houma and 40 miles from eye wall coming his way.

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q0k-Qy2v5AA

 

Not live, updates. My bad.

Who besides me is rooting for that dumpster to flatten Jim Cantore ? He should be nowheres near that thing.

It's still a Category 4 hurricane hours after landfall.  This is going to be messy.

Some observed wind speeds as of 4pm PT :

Dulac had sustained winds of 93 mph (135mph gust), South Lafourche airport had sustained winds of 91mph, (122mph gust). Lakefront Airport in New Orleans had sustained winds of 66 mph (84mph gusts), New Orleans International Airport had sustained winds of 62mph, gusts to 81...

Is that enough to knock over chairs?

Meanwhile out west...

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Flipping thru the vinyl tonight  - 

 

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=MGs2iLoDUYE

 

Thread needs a song.

 

Randy Newman Louisiana 1927

 

Ras, a buddy (record shop owner, total KC / prog nerd), is putting together a band trivia game w/ former employees...   I had to send him that album cover, figures there's a good trivia question or 2 in there....

>>>Is that enough to knock over chairs?

Literally tore the roof off the mother sucker

Nice Noodler, I was hoping that info would be helpful to someone in filling in some KC mythology.

Katrina & Ida both make landfall 8/29

Grateful Dead Live at Family Dog at the Great Highway on 1969-08-29

Played New Orleans:  https://archive.org/details/gd69-08-29.sbd.cotsman.8996.sbeok.shnf/gd69-...

Northern gulf coast, tropical storm effect. Rain, gusts to 35, no damage to casa, no power loss.

Lucky.

< Northern gulf coast

Soon to be known as the Southern gulf coast. Glad to hear you made out ok