Any Predictions?

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I'm cautiously optimistic that Harris will win. The polls are useless not because they don't know what they are doing, but because they are within the margin of error which is their way of saying they don't know.

The intangibles really seem to be on the side of Harris. Bigger crowd sizes, Hillary couldn't fill a broom closet in 2016. Trump out sourced his ground game to Elon Musk and Charlie Kirk and everyone involved seems to be taking the money and running https://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/joshs-on-going-dissertation-on-ground-game-studies  . Harris also has much higher favorable rating at about 51% compared to Trump at 45% which leads to data points like this. “Voters who made up their mind in the last month or week break for Harris, 60% to 36%,” Kimball said. “The three percent of voters who said they could still change their mind currently favor Harris, 48% to 43%.”

That doesn't mean I don't think Trump can still win. I will be watching with a blanket over my head and will hopefully be able to post this when it's in the bag. https://www.facebook.com/reel/507888375252840

Good chance Harris will win the popular vote.

Even or better (actually worse!) that Trump will win the EC.

Likelihood that Trump will cheat to get the election thrown to the House (one vote per state) or SCOTUS, where he has a 6-3 majoruty - 100%.

foresee shit show...

Harris will win and our Military will be on stand by to protect the Capitol and quell any violent Trump supporters attempting to overthrow the government. Trump will flee to Dubai to avoid Justice here. 

I predict that the orange man will be our next president 

tRUMP wins.  No more elections.  America over.no

Save the horror stories for Halloween 

You're gonna take a walk in the rain, and you're gonna get wet, I predict.

Crazy aunt texting us: 10 more days, there will only be 2 news channels, prepare with food and water. Tesla energy will be the new energy system

More of those intangibles. This should put her over the top.

Screenshot 2024-10-22 at 8.40.52 PM.png

 

I will (still) never eat at McDonald's again.

it is entirely possible he will be installed as our last president>first dictator

here's hoping it is the biggest landslide in history so that she wins without a doubt and even his judges (all of them, on every level) cannot undo it

 

except juggalos don't vote.

i simply adore that violent j despises 45 tho

Can't predict anything but that repubs will still control the state of Utah in a super majority and do whatever they want with people's rights, cities rights, and sue the federal gov'mt to steal their lands, too.  

But the fact that this is so close nationally is the scariest and saddest thing. WITAF are people seeing? How could we be so off course? Hope the vote totals show the pollsters wrong, and the electoral college works in the Dem's favor. The division in the country, and that this race is still up in the air, is so alarming. 

It looks like Trump.

Imagine getting beat by this fraudster not once, but twice. It's incredible.

Just a massive indictment against the Democratic Party cabal.

 

 

Only prediction I care to make is Harris is going to win the popular vote, probably by a significant margin.  I usually vote third party and can do so without worry since I live in Oregon, but going with Harris/Walz this time just to pad the popular vote.

Democratic cabal?  you OK?  I think not.

Hard to trust the polls or instinct.  Logic tells me Trump was rejected in 2020 and he will be rejected again but logic isn't logicing anymore.

If Trump wins, the US gets what it deserves 

I voted and did what I can do

 

Biden managed to beat Trump in the popular vote and the electoral college in 2020, and I would say that a large part of the people who voted for him did so without much enthusiasm.

Harris inherited Biden's base and has generated and maintained a great deal of enthusiasm during her shorter-than-usual candidacy.

Trump's legal woes have continued to mount in the last year or so, and I think his increasingly erratic performance reflects this. There's a good chance he'll go to jail, and he knows it.

My prediction is that Harris easily wins the popular vote, and manages a solid a victory in the electoral college. I also expect to see violence on the part of the Right because of these things.

Shame after all this time that the wordy Democrats still can't come up with a pithy slogan or bullet point bumper sticker.

  • Clean Water
  • Clean Energy
  • Clean Government

Twenty years of Fox News screaming at the Obamas, Hillary and Biden, simple repetitive messaging and appeals to racism unfortunately works.  

Much-less ignoring demographic realities. 

(we're fucked)

I had two contrasting experiences (related to the Home and Garden show that I exhibited stone sculpture at this past weekend) that are equally worrying:

Overheard a black security guard wearing a cowboy hat and pistol say, "I'm voting for the guy everybody hates. What's he done that's so bad anyway?"

Delivered some art to a retired Baltimore City policeman in his upper middle class suburban house out in the semi-rural section of the County and his wife bragged, "He used to like to beat 'them' up and hose 'them' down." 

Ignorance AND racism

462550863_494529863585873_7519347202078456042_n.jpg

I'm voting for Oswald because he gets things done  wink

I am so fucking sick of the ignorance. On NPR they interviewed a black male in Detroit who said all he hears Kamala talk about is the middle class and everybody he knows is in the lower class. What is she going to do for us. And a Latino male in Pennsylvania say the same thing -  about how the Democrats have done nothing for Hispanics and now they want our vote.

Meanwhile the only reason this election is close is because of all the white people who are terrified of our transition to a multi racial America something the Democrats have championed. The Dems have lost huge swaths of white working class voters, union voters because putting a Latina on the Supreme court was the right thing to do, and passing the child tax credit lifted millions of lower class people out of poverty.

If someone said things that ignorant calling into sports radio they would immediately be made fun of, but NPR broadcasts those opinions like they are some kind of folksy wisdom that we all need to ponder. 

turns out most billionaires are fascists and not woke liberal elites...

Not too surprising, but there are exceptions. It's being reported today that Bill Gates contrubuted $50 million to Harris, and his ex-wife Melinda has contributed about $13 million as well. And Steve Jobs widow, Laurene Powell Jobs, who has had a close relationship with Harris for quite some time, is also said to have contributed millions to her campaign.

I don't trust to nothing, but I know it come out right.

There are some very unconfirmed reports that a video of Trump groping the minor daughter of a donor at private event is going to be released. Probably won't be anything but right wing folks are telling people that a deep fake video is about to come out. 

would it matter if it was real?  Nothing sticks to Don the Con.

Democratic cabal?  you OK?  I think not.<<<

What, not putting belief in the power brokers of a inept political party? If you can't beat Donald Trump, you suck as political organization. Just a fact.

Tatters there can be no real argument that the D party is its own worst enemy but I take issue with "cabal" - makes you sound like Jesse Waters 

....

TRUMP IS A PIECE OF SHIT vote some way away  from the Clown.

as I see it from France, I did Vote.. If the Dems really wanted Kamela... they would have boosted her like the 2cnd year of VPism, They didn't, I voted but seriously considered writing In BS for President .. Bernie Sanders of course.. but I didn't, My sister's gay, my nephew's a Trans my other sister is a brainwashed extremist Catho..let's hear it for Roe vs Wade turnabout...! & "What the audience doesn't know is the whole shebang is rigged and has been for years' My favorite french song(written by 2 Americans and 1st interpretation by Doris Day in 1956 is "what ever will be will be"... Did my duty like a good lil pilgrahm..gawd I miss Phil at The Cap for Halloween Fuck Cancer and politics! there's my Take Good luck folks

I predict Rick James will again not be voting, which is a shame, bc it would be gold to have someone question his ID and hear him say,  I'm Rick James, bitch!

There are some very unconfirmed reports that a video of Trump groping the minor daughter of a donor at private event is going to be released. Probably won't be anything but right wing folks are telling people that a deep fake video is about to come out. <<<

Even if authenticated pee tapes were released, as well as Putin issuing Trump instructions on a subsequent video while referencing the pee tapes as extortion still wouldn't move the needle at this point. 

Cautiously optimistic for a Harris victory.  

I also live in a newly created House district that will likely be won by Shomari Figures, he of a prominant civil rights family here in Alabama.  That would make two Dems in the House.

The red states would be much less so if not for gerrymandering.

Also, first time using an absentee ballot, the only way to vote early here, got in by being old.

This is as good as any other indicator.

2020: Chiefs win the Super Bowl

Dodgers win the World Series

Donald Trump loses the election

2024: Chiefs win the Super Bowl

Dodgers win the World Series

????

I think Trump has it.....the death of this country.  There will be damage.  

I hope that there are a bunch of women out there in red states who are saying one thing publicly but secretly voting another way.  

After the Republicans attacked Disney and hurt their revenue over politicizing the way the company is run and who it supports, it is a wonder to me so many business types are supporting Trump. If they do not like your business, or who you cater to, or support, they are coming for your company.

 

Poles only generate viewership if it is close. Everything is for sale here. 
 

its like hurricane news coverage in Florida, no matter where you live there is a spaghetti model bringing that storm right to your front door, and your local news station is playing that angle. Everything is for sale. 

Harris up 3 in Iowa

https://cbs2iowa.com/news/local/final-iowa-poll-shows-harris-leading-trump

One of the most accurate pollsters in US history with a strong history of being right when everyone else is wrong.

She was the only one who found Trump was beating Clinton in 2016 and the one who said polls were way overestimating Biden in 2020. She also showed Obama was doing better than polls expected in the 2008 primary.

If Kamala is even close in Iowa that's makes it a very different story than yesterday's.

Nice Harris cameo on SNL's cold open!   

Lotta suckers within' our borders. I never thought America was half as great as most.... testing.. 1.. 2.. 3...

Trump and Johnson's secret plan>

https://youtu.be/EySCQI3WEi0

Lotta suckers within' our borders. I never thought America was half as great as most do. Testing.. 1.. 2.. 3...  Please prove me wrong!

Trump and Johnson's secret plan > 

https://youtu.be/EySCQI3WEi0

ABC NEWS HEADLINE

2024 election updates: Harris joins 'SNL,' Trump says he's 'father of fertilization'

 

Wild.

I try to see things from both sides

but I have no answers 

these people are passionate and will be here after he's gone

zv.jpg

^^^^^^

posted by a "neighbor" on local social media

Remember the outrage when Marylin Manson simulated performing fellatio on stage?  

Not a peep from our major news outlets about the ole trump-a-dump hand job and microphone head bob.

Completely pathetic. Should be billboards and major headlines but............................................zip.

Bet Putin is smiling and anticipating his little bitch dog is gonna swallow it all!

 

-Kamala Harris “I tricked him in to pretending to work at MacDonald’s!”

-Joe Biden “I tricked him in to riding in a garbage truck!”

-Stormy Daniels “Hold my Cosmo”

I miss George Carlin.

$16 billion total spent on this campaign. 

And don't forget, only 54 more shopping days until christmas.

Harris/Waltz Tigers 34

Trump/Vance Weasles 21

from kick off to final whistle it was a no contest Refs warned the Weasles multiple times to be more sportsman like. All to no avail.

The Tigers are now been invited to the White House!!

Champs

Shit has already started in Pennsylvania.  Our country is doomed.

I predict we are going to see 48 more hours of Trump saying and doing all sorts of outrageous, unhinged, and offensive shit that would have otherwise immediately disqualified anyone else from ever holding public office.  Jesus, the dude just stimulated a sex act on a microphone in front of a crowd of people.

But Harris has a weird laugh and Tim Walz embellished the details of a trip he took 35 years ago.

 

Tim Knows

 

bye bye Donnie.


>> I think Trump has it.....the death of this country.  There will be damage.

 

of course you do

 


prince

controversy

https://youtu.be/4gazNwzC4H0?si=CQrrWAwn89uQb7rI

 

 

 

 

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As this presidential campaign comes to an end, Bernie Sanders says a few words:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i8N4Sgk5HTE

Love Gilda - Gilda Radner as Emily Litella “What's all ...  Here, with an editorial reply, is Miss Emily Litella.

What’s all this fuss I’ve been hearing about the presidential erection? Now, I know they erected a monument for Mr. Lincoln and President Washington, but that’s because they’re DEAD! Hopefully, the  President won’t be DEAD! So he won’t NEED an erection! If Americans are going to spend money to erect anything, why don’t we tear down those nasty slums and erect luxury high rises for poor people and senior citizens! Not for presidents who can afford to pay for their OWN erections!   I can’t believe the way things are turning out in this country — what?

 I’m sorry. That’s election. The editorial was about the presidential election, not the presidential erection. Election.

 Oh, that’s very different.  Never mind.

And that’s the news. Good night, and have a pleasant tomorrow.

 

I believe Kamala is going to win by a large margin and surprise everyone.

My prediction hasn't changed. Kamala will win the popular vote and shithead will steal the erection.

 

We're fucked

He overperformed in areas all over the country. National polls proved to be largely correct, although Ann Selzer's reputation is forever ruined. Ditto for Lichtman. Poor dude was getting death threats.

His whole campaign was built on racism, helped by the richest man in the world buying Twitter and turning it into an alt-right forum, radicalizing millions of young white men.

Get ready for RFK's crazy ass as our health czar. And Elon Musk probably Secretary of State.

Rough times ahead folks!

Never would have predicted this.

Unfathomable that a narcicisstic and obnoxious traitor and convicted felon who sexually assaults people and threatens to be a dictator can be elected by over half the country. Tell me I'm dreaming.  

Full results not in but it doesn't look good for this country, and the world for that matter. 

Trump racked up big gains with Latinos which is hilarious. They're hated by his core group of voters and he'll try to deport as many as he can as soon as he gets sworn in.

Black men in Philly went a big chunk for Trump too, compared to 2020.

Twilight zone shit.

Some of these numbers are shocking. Harris bled support all over the country, including NJ and NY. Trump made huge gains in Dem strongholds. And he's going to win the popular vote.

Feel bad for Harris and all her volunteers. From all accounts they worked their asses off to get the vote out but for whatever reason Americans came out in historic numbers for a rapist, thief and convicted felon.

Teflon Don..

This has more to do with the Democratic party that is does Donald. To have an incumbent in office and then get trounced by an ignorant sociopath like Donnie, you really have to be out of touch. Biden never should have attempted to run a second time and when it was too late, they propped up Kamala Harris, who is mostly a party puppet and mediocre in most facets. 

Will this cause a notable shift in the DNC? One would hope but then again, I thought it would happen after Hillary lost.

 

 

 

Agreed 100%

Monkey and the Engineer

We're in for another long strange trip

>This has more to do with the Democratic party that is does Donald

 

Bullshit. This has to do with sexism, racism and ignorance  of the American people who chose supporting Fascism and Oligarchy over Democracy. Project 2025 was no secret and will be the blueprint for the next REPUBLICAN admin  with or without the Orange Fascist at the helm. Our only hope is a Military Coup. 

>>>>>and will be the blueprint for the next REPUBLICAN admin 

 

And the one after that, and the one after that, and...................

The final season of the Handmaids Tale is gonna have a better ending than the USA

Just too many people who were uncomfortable with the idea of a woman as president.  Simple as that.

I disagree, Ken. They chose a racist who's a convicted felon and also has sexual assault and insurrection on his resume, and you're saying their discomfort with the idea of a woman as president rises above all that? I can't imagine how that could be true.

>> Our only hope is a Military Coup. 

 

Good luck with that, military types love him.

We're in for a long dark winter.

His support from black and brown male voters supports Ken's position. 

On the positive side, Dick Cheney is disappointed this morning. It's not every day when a world class war criminal is saddened. It appears the Cheney warmonger clan will need to look elsewhere moving forward. Shucks.

Doug Emhoff has a lot of First Gentleman gear to dispense with.

Prediction: The End of the World has begun.

139rxc.jpg.

.

Being a woman AND black was just too big a hurdle in this fucked up place.....

Very true. Pathetic.

SICKENING.

If we can someday remove the scourge of Trumpism/Facism from our country, a lot of what Trump is about to do can be reversed. Not all, but a lot. SCOTUS will take a while.

 

However, what Trump is about to allow Putin to do to Europe may never be able to be fixed.

Even without a nuclear war.

>Poles only generate viewership if it is close. Everything is for sale here. 

 

another mis-spelling on my part but

 

please bring back, real authentic journalist that can be trusted again, enough of the biased news/entertainment bullshit shows like CNN, Fox, MSNBC, News Max, even cigarettes come with a consumer warning, do these bitches next. 

Fairness Doctrine 

Justices Thomas and Alito retire, so Trump can switch them out with younger conservative replacements.

Kids in cages

1 877 cages for kids